Week ahead

Frozen each Sunday evening — times in London.

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday 7 Oct headlines the week — the only high-impact release.

HIGH-IMPACT THIS WEEK

Wed 19:00highMinutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeUS

Federal Reserve policy communication — the primary channel for the US policy-path driver.

S&P 500GoldEuro

CALENDAR

Monday 5 Oct1 release
15:00mediumISM Services PMIUS

A business-activity survey — an early, softer signal for the growth driver ahead of hard data.

Tuesday 6 Oct0 releases
Clear.
Wednesday 7 Oct1 release · 1 high
19:00highMinutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeUS

Federal Reserve policy communication — the primary channel for the US policy-path driver.

Thursday 8 Oct1 release
13:30mediumInitial Jobless ClaimsUS

A labour-market reading — feeds the employment/labour-slack driver and rate-path expectations.

Friday 9 Oct2 releases
15:00mediumPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentUS

A survey-based confidence gauge — a forward-looking sentiment signal, not a hard data point.

15:00mediumPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsUS

An inflation reading — transmits to rate-sensitive assets through the real-yield and policy-path channels.

YOUR TRACKED ASSETS

RECENT DRIVER

The S&P 500 showed resilience, indicating investors were looking past immediate inflation worries.

DOMESTIC CATALYST

ISM Services PMI

Mon 15:00mediumExp: 55.1 · Prev: 55.4

What it measures: A business-activity survey — an early, softer signal for the growth driver ahead of hard data.

CROSS CATALYST

Persistent inflation concerns

KEY DATES

Monday 5 Oct

15:00mediumISM Services PMIUS

Wednesday 7 Oct

19:00highFOMC Meeting MinutesUS

Thursday 8 Oct

13:30mediumUnemployment ClaimsUS

Friday 9 Oct

15:00mediumPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentUS
15:00mediumPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsUS

RECENT DRIVER

The Euro benefited from crowded short positioning, with potential for further upside on any positive sentiment shifts.

DOMESTIC CATALYST

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Wed 19:00high

What it measures: Federal Reserve policy communication — the primary channel for the US policy-path driver.

CROSS CATALYST

Risk appetite in global equities

KEY DATES

Monday 5 Oct

15:00mediumISM Services PMIUS

Wednesday 7 Oct

19:00highFOMC Meeting MinutesUS

Thursday 8 Oct

13:30mediumUnemployment ClaimsUS

Friday 9 Oct

15:00mediumPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentUS
15:00mediumPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsUS

KEY DATES

Monday 5 Oct

15:00mediumISM Services PMIUS

Wednesday 7 Oct

19:00highFOMC Meeting MinutesUS

Thursday 8 Oct

13:30mediumUnemployment ClaimsUS

Friday 9 Oct

15:00mediumPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentUS
15:00mediumPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsUS

From this week's engine snapshot.