• Today’s market themes: Iran tensions easing: potential peace proposal buoying risk assets, weighing on oil. BOJ hold: yen weakness continues post-policy announcement. Crowded positioning: squeeze risk in USD, JPY, AUD, BTC, and Copper. The setup: The market is pricing in reduced geopolitical risk following reports of a potential peace proposal from…

  • Where we are: The DXY currently trades at 98.14, down 0.28 after an overnight range of 98.03-98.48. The Greenback is underperforming against most G10 currencies as risk sentiment improves slightly ahead of the New York open. This puts the index well below Friday’s close, continuing the downward trend. What’s driving it:…

  • Where we are: S&P 500 futures currently trade at 7191.50, up 0.10% on the day and near the top of today’s 7172.00-7208.25 range. Cash SPX closed Friday at a record, and futures are consolidating those gains in thin pre-market trade. We’re seeing some consolidation after that ninth record close, but the…

  • Where we are: Gold (COMEX) currently trades at $4714.0, down $2.1 or -0.04% on the day, holding above overnight lows of $4686.7 but well off the high of $4745.6. The slight weakness comes after a four-week winning streak, although last week saw a 2.5% decline. Gold is softer in Asia after…

  • Where we are: EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.1745, up 0.31% on the session, after printing a day range of 1.1705-1.1755. The pair has recouped some of last week’s losses, finding support near the 1.17 level. This bounce coincides with a broader weakening of the US Dollar, as the DXY trades…

  • Where we are: Nasdaq futures are currently trading at 27431.25, up 0.14% on the session, having traded in a tight 27345.75-27541.00 range overnight. This sits just below the upper end of that range, and implies a slightly softer open for the cash market which closed Friday near all-time highs. Despite the…

  • Where we are: GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.3547, up 0.27% on the day, having printed a range of 1.3511 to 1.3576 so far. Cable is extending its gains from the Asia session, pushing through initial resistance at 1.3520. The move higher has been supported by broad dollar weakness as the…

  • Where we are: USD/JPY currently trades at 159.22, down 0.35 from Friday’s close, after a volatile overnight session that saw a range of 159.10 to 159.60. The pair initially spiked higher following the BOJ decision before retracing to current levels. Despite the mild dip, we are still holding above the psychologically…

  • Where we are: Dow futures are clinging to modest gains at 49347, up just 18 points, having traded in a narrow 49230-49384 range overnight. This is a whisker above Friday’s cash close of 49231. Cash opened sharply lower in Europe and has been making ground back toward the top of Friday’s…

  • Where we are: USD/CAD is currently trading at 1.3603, down 0.56% on the day. The pair broke lower in European morning trade after consolidating in a narrow range overnight, supported by the bottom end of the day’s range at 1.3598. This move erases Friday’s gains and puts USDCAD back near the…

  • Where we are: Bitcoin currently trades at $77,693, down $708 or 0.9% on the day, trading within a $77,494-$79,497 range. BTC is underperforming Ethereum which is down 2.08%. Bitcoin is finding support ahead of the $77,000 level after a strong run. This consolidation is occurring as the DXY weakens to 98.14…

  • Where we are: The FTSE 100 is barely clinging to positive territory, currently trading at 22590, up just 7 points or 0.03% on the day. After a weak open in Asia, the index remains near a three-week low. The intraday range has been a tight 22582-22682. The flat performance mirrors a…

  • Snapshot: AUD/USD is trading at 0.7188, up 0.65% on the session, driven by surging energy prices and expectations of further RBA rate hikes. The US-AU 10Y yield spread sits at -65bp, widening slightly in favor of the Aussie as US yields remain relatively contained. Watch for resistance around 0.7200, a break…

  • Snapshot: WTI Crude is currently trading at $96.23, up 0.61% on the session, driven primarily by continued uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. The DXY is slightly softer at 98.14, offering minor support, but the geopolitical premium is the dominant driver. $97.10 represents the intraday high; a break above would signal…

  • Snapshot: The Nikkei 225 is up 1.18% to 60537, driven by robust technology sector gains. Today’s catalyst was the BOJ announcements, which largely affirmed the status quo despite geopolitical risks. Break above 60,897 signals further upside potential. Watch for geopolitical headlines and potential risk-off flows pressuring tech, especially with elevated VIX…