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Regime: Mixed: VIX steady at 15.32 but yields are pulling back modestly, capping the DXY at 99.05 amid light risk-off sentiment. Today’s market themes: ECB watch: Eurozone inflation data reinforces the case for a June rate hike, setting up a potential hawkish surprise. Oil supply: Geopolitical tensions compete with global demand…
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Where we are: The DXY currently sits at 99.05, down -0.08% on the day, trading in a tight 99.00-99.18 range. The index is softer compared to yesterday’s close, consolidating recent gains as traders await fresh catalysts. The subdued price action reflects a market in wait-and-see mode ahead of key US data…
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Where we are: S&P 500 futures are currently trading at 7600.50, down 0.14% on the session, after a tight overnight range of 7576.50 to 7611.00. This compares to the cash close at 7600.00 yesterday, leaving the index near all-time highs despite some profit-taking in pre-market trading. A retest of the overnight…
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Where we are: Gold (COMEX) is currently trading at 4544.4, up 0.68% on the day, carving out a range of 4492.6 to 4571.2 so far. This move sees XAU reclaim lost ground from yesterday, pushing back towards the upper end of its recent trading band. Bullion is attracting a bid after…
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Where we are: EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.1650, up 0.14% on the day. The pair has traded in a narrow range of 1.1629 to 1.1655 so far. This level is slightly above yesterday’s NY close, suggesting a modest bid tone in early trading. What’s driving it: The Euro is catching…
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Where we are: Nasdaq 100 futures are currently trading at 30551.75, up a meager 0.03% on the day, holding the overnight bid. The overnight range has been tight, between 30318.50 and 30584.75, capping out yesterday’s cash high, which peaked at 27190.21. Given the narrow range and proximity to the overnight high,…
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Where we are: GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.3473, up 0.12% on the day, within a relatively tight intraday range of 1.3451-1.3482. The pair is holding ground above its prior NY close, benefitting from a slightly softer dollar and continued expectations of Bank of England rate hikes. Price action suggests the…
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Where we are: USD/JPY is currently trading at 159.78, marginally higher on the day (+0.07%) and probing the upper end of its intraday range (159.62-159.78). This level is reigniting intervention watch, with the pair inching closer to the psychologically significant 160.00 mark, a level that previously triggered MoF action. The current…
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Where we are: Dow futures are currently trading at 50893, down 179 points or 0.35% on the day. The overnight range has been relatively contained between 50871 and 51083. This puts the Dow futures below yesterday’s cash close of 51079, suggesting a slightly weaker open for the New York session. The…
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Where we are: USD/CAD currently trades at 1.3839, a touch higher on the day after a tight overnight range of 1.3836-1.3854. The pair is holding just above its overnight lows. Price action suggests a mild bid to the USD, but volumes are light pre-NY data. What’s driving it: Domestic headwinds continue…
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Where we are: Bitcoin is currently trading at 69007, down 2.77% or roughly $1962 on the day. The overnight range has been wide, between 68982 and 71519, suggesting some choppy trading. This current level is testing the lower end of that range and is a significant pullback from yesterday’s close. What’s…
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Where we are: The FTSE 100 is currently trading at 23358, up 110 points or +0.47% on the day. The index has traded in a range of 23248-23494 thus far. This level is modestly higher than yesterday’s close, driven by continued strength from miners. Resistance is seen at the intraday high…
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Snapshot: AUD/USD is trading at 0.7177, up 0.16% on the session. The Aussie is finding some support from slightly firmer copper prices and a modestly weaker DXY. All eyes are now on the Q1 GDP print due at 11:30 AEST tonight. The RBA remains reluctant to commit to a cut path,…
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Snapshot: WTI Crude is trading at $91.10, down 1.51% on the session, driven by easing of immediate Hormuz Strait concerns following President Trump’s comments. Today’s catalyst is the 10:00 ET JOLTS Job Openings figure, potentially influencing risk sentiment. Watch for a break below $90.17 (day low) to confirm further downside. Geopolitical…
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Snapshot: The Nikkei 225 is trading at 66734, up 0.16% on the day. JGB yields are sharply lower, with the 10-year down 12bp to 2.569%, supporting equities. Today’s moves are happening amidst lingering uncertainty about BOJ policy. Watch for a break above intraday highs of 66734. Risk: Middle East tensions and…