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Snapshot: EUR/JPY faces downward pressure as the policy divergence between the ECB’s 2.50% deposit rate and the BoJ’s 0.50% stance begins to peak. Remarks earlier today from Deputy Governor Himino reinforce the BoJ’s normalisation bias, while the ECB’s mild easing path remains anchored by Eurozone core HICP slowing to 2.3%. This…
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Where we are: The Single Currency is hovering around the $1.1450 handle, trading at $1.1452 as the London session progresses towards the New York open. This leaves the pair clinging to its weakest level since mid-March, on track for a 1.0% weekly decline after failing to break above the $1.1520 resistance…
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Snapshot: Brent crude is pinned below $80, on track for an 8.5% weekly loss as the Middle East geopolitical risk premium rapidly deflates. Tanker traffic has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz—with 10 million barrels transiting yesterday, including Saudi vessels—more than offsetting the friction of delayed US-Iran diplomatic talks. This return…
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Snapshot: EUR/GBP remains heavily offered as monetary policy divergence between a cautious BoE and a dovish ECB dominates price action. While the ECB preserved its mild easing bias after cutting the deposit rate to 2.50%, sticky UK core inflation ticking up to 2.6% and services CPI near 5% keep the MPC…
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Where we are: NQ futures are consolidating yesterday’s 1.9% surge, holding steady near the 19,920 level as the London morning session winds down. The overnight range has been predictably tight, bound between 19,870 and 19,950, with cash markets closed today for the Juneteenth holiday. Yesterday’s strong close back above the 20-day…
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Where we are: Cable is grinding higher to trade just above the 1.3200 level ahead of the New York open, recovering from overnight lows but remaining on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%. The market has established a firm base around yesterday’s post-BoE lows, with spot currently testing…
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Where we are: USD/JPY is trading around 161.45, hovering precariously close to yesterday’s multi-decade high of 161.80 as the Tokyo cash close left the currency on the brink of a major breakout. The overnight range remained tightly bound between 161.10 and 161.60, with the market paralyzingly close to the Ministry of…
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Where we are: US30 futures are consolidating near 39,120 during the London morning, maintaining a tight overnight range between 39,050 and 39,180. This follows Thursday’s cash session where the Dow Jones clawed back a modest 72-point gain, buoyed by domestic chipmaker strength despite broader macro headwinds. Technically, the index remains pinned…
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Where we are: USDCAD is hovering near a seven-month high at 1.4100, testing the resolve of macro accounts as we approach the New York open. The pair has established a tight overnight range of 1.4080 to 1.4120, holding onto the bulk of its recent gains after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish pause.…
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Where we are: BTC/USD is trading at $66,150, pinned near the lower bound of its $65,800–$66,900 overnight range as we head toward the NY open. This leaves the pair down 1.2% from yesterday’s high, testing key technical support at the 50-day moving average of $65,950. The European session cash open offered…
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Where we are: The Footsie is grinding out a modest intraday recovery to trade slightly firmer, though the index remains on track for a weekly decline of just over 0.5%. Early resilience is being led by defensive heavyweight pharma and a bid in the energy sector, which are helping to cushion…
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Snapshot: The Australian Dollar remains heavy below the 0.7050 level as fading domestic rate-hike expectations and shifting RBA sentiment sap the currency of its yield-advantage support. Markets increasingly suspect the RBA is finished tightening at its 4.10% cash rate, meaning it will now take an exceptionally high CPI print to revive…
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Snapshot: WTI crude has steadied near $77 per barrel on Friday, but remains on track for a bruising 10% weekly decline as the geopolitical supply premium built up over three months of conflict rapidly evaporates. Physical flows through the Strait of Hormuz show tentative signs of normalization after nearly 10 million…
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Snapshot: The Nikkei 225 wrapped up its Tokyo session 0.28% higher at 71,250, locking in a powerful 8% gain for the week as Japan’s core CPI matched expectations at 1.4% in May. This contained print, paired with a dovish undertone in the BoJ’s April minutes and Deputy Governor Himino’s latest report,…
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Snapshot: The DAX 40 has pared its recent gains to trade just below the 25,000 handle, pausing after six consecutive positive sessions as Eurozone inflation anchors firmly at the 2.0% target. While central bank commentary from Cipollone and Elderson keeps the focus on ECB policy normalization, a heavy ex-dividend drop in…