Pound Under Pressure Before Budget – Wednesday, 12 November

The British pound experienced weakening against the dollar, settling at $1.3125. This depreciation appears to be driven by a combination of political instability, concerns leading up to the UK budget announcement, and uncertainty surrounding recent UK labour market data. Market sentiment is cautious as investors await further economic data releases for clearer signals.

  • The British pound weakened to $1.3125.
  • Political uncertainty, including reports of a denied attempt to challenge the Prime Minister’s leadership, weighed on sentiment.
  • Allies warned that a leadership move could cause market instability and increase gilt yields.
  • Doubts about the reliability of UK labour market data, particularly a reported 5% unemployment rate, added to volatility.
  • Bank of England rate-setter Megan Greene highlighted data complications.
  • Initial reaction to the jobs report strengthened expectations for a December BoE rate cut, with markets pricing in an 80% chance.
  • Investors are awaiting Q3 GDP data for more clarity on growth prospects.

The value of the British pound is being negatively impacted by a confluence of factors. Internal political issues are creating nervousness among investors, particularly as these uncertainties are arising just before a key budget announcement. Furthermore, skepticism surrounding the accuracy of recently released jobs figures is fueling additional instability. The combined effect of these elements is creating a challenging environment for the currency, with traders closely monitoring incoming economic data for any signs of relief.