Pound Rallies on Hawkish BoE Cut – Monday, 11 August

The British pound experienced a surge in value, reaching a two-week high of $1.34. This movement occurred after the Bank of England’s recent monetary policy announcement. While the central bank implemented a widely anticipated rate cut, the decision’s narrow approval and hawkish signals regarding future rate adjustments have influenced market sentiment.

  • The British pound strengthened to $1.34.
  • The Bank of England cut the key Bank Rate by 25bps to 4%.
  • The rate cut decision was not unanimous, passing with a 5-4 majority after requiring a second round of voting.
  • Governor Bailey indicated future rate cuts would be gradual and careful.
  • The Bank raised its inflation forecast for September to 4% from 3.7%.
  • Markets have reduced expectations for further rate cuts, now pricing in only 17 basis points of additional easing in 2025.

The events suggest a shift in market expectations regarding the pound. Despite the rate cut, the central bank’s caution about future easing, combined with a revised inflation outlook, has led investors to reassess their positions. This recalibration has translated into increased demand for the pound, as traders anticipate a less aggressive monetary policy stance than initially projected.