Pound Near Lows After Divided BoE Vote – Friday, 7 November

The British pound experienced volatility, trading around $1.305 after trimming earlier gains. This level places it near a recent seven-month low of $1.301. The Bank of England’s decision to hold the policy rate steady at 4% revealed a significant division within the Monetary Policy Committee.

  • The Bank of England voted 5-4 to hold the policy rate at 4%.
  • Four members voted to cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%.
  • The BoE believes CPI inflation has peaked.
  • The risk of persistent inflation has diminished.
  • Downside risks from weaker demand have become more apparent.
  • The overall outlook is now more balanced.
  • A gradual downward path for the Bank Rate is likely if disinflation continues.
  • Further evidence is needed before easing policy further.

The asset’s performance suggests sensitivity to monetary policy signals. The central bank’s communication highlights a shifting landscape with reduced inflation concerns, but growing economic uncertainty. The potential for future rate cuts, contingent on further data, introduces downward pressure, however this depends on a continuation of disinflation and further evidence.