Gold’s Price Action Hinges on US Data – Thursday, 19 February

Gold is struggling to hold above the $5,000 mark as the market anticipates crucial US economic data releases. The metal’s price is being influenced by conflicting factors, including geopolitical tensions that support its safe-haven appeal and a strong US Dollar that limits its upside. The Federal Reserve’s divided stance on interest rate cuts and recent positive US economic data are contributing to the Dollar’s strength.

  • Gold retreated from daily highs and trades below $5,000.
  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East support gold.
  • A strong US Dollar caps gold’s upside.
  • The Fed is divided on the timing of interest rate cuts.
  • Positive US economic data backs the case for the Fed to hold rates steady.
  • US economic data releases (Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, Pending Home Sales) and FOMC speeches will drive the USD and Gold.
  • The US PCE Price Index on Friday will be crucial for determining the Fed’s rate-cut path.

The information suggests that the near-term outlook for gold is uncertain and heavily dependent on upcoming economic releases and the Federal Reserve’s response. Geopolitical risks may provide some support, but a strong US Dollar, driven by a cautious Fed and positive economic data, could limit potential gains. Traders should pay close attention to the PCE data to assess the likely trajectory for the precious metal.