Gold Rises on Rate Cut Expectations – Thursday, 13 November

Gold prices surged above $4,230 per ounce, reaching a three-week high, fueled by investor anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The US government’s reopening following a shutdown and potential delays in official economic reports are prompting reliance on private data, which suggests labor market weakness. This, in turn, strengthens expectations of further easing by the Fed, driving gold’s recent gains.

  • Gold prices climbed above $4,230 per ounce, a three-week high.
  • Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook following the US government’s reopening.
  • October’s official jobs and inflation reports may be delayed.
  • Private labor data suggest recent job cuts by US firms.
  • Traders assign roughly a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate reduction next month.
  • Gold has risen nearly 5% this week.

The current economic landscape suggests a favorable environment for gold. Concerns about economic weakness, coupled with expectations of monetary easing by the central bank, are driving investors towards the safe-haven asset. The potential for further rate cuts could diminish the attractiveness of alternative investments, such as bonds, making gold a relatively more appealing option. This confluence of factors may sustain upward pressure on the precious metal’s price.