Euro Weathers Fed Shift, ECB Holds Steady – Monday, 22 September

The euro traded around $1.18, dipping slightly from recent four-year highs. This dip correlates with dollar strength following the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, despite an expected rate cut. The European Central Bank is maintaining its current interest rate strategy, suggesting a potential pause in its rate-cutting cycle. Euro Area inflation experienced a minor decrease in August 2025.

  • The euro traded around $1.18, slightly below recent highs.
  • The dollar firmed after the Fed’s rate cut and communication.
  • The ECB left rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting.
  • ECB policymakers urged caution due to risks from tariffs, inflation, and fiscal policy.
  • Euro Area inflation eased to 2.0% in August 2025, down from a preliminary 2.1%.

The euro’s relative stability, despite a strengthening dollar influenced by the Fed’s actions, suggests resilience. The ECB’s cautious stance, emphasizing the need to monitor emerging risks, indicates a conservative approach to future monetary policy decisions. The slight dip in Euro Area inflation gives the ECB some room to maneuver but doesn’t necessarily mandate immediate action.