Euro Steady Amid French Political Turmoil – Wednesday, 10 September

Market conditions see the Euro holding strong, hovering near its strongest level since late July around $1.17. This stability occurs amidst political uncertainty in France and ahead of a key European Central Bank meeting, with investors also eyeing the upcoming US inflation report for potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy.

  • The euro held above $1.17, near its strongest level since late July.
  • French Prime Minister François Bayrou was ousted in a parliamentary confidence vote, deepening France’s political crisis.
  • President Macron must appoint his third prime minister in one year.
  • The European Central Bank is expected to leave rates unchanged.
  • Eurozone inflation has remained on target for three straight months.
  • Attention is fixed on the US inflation report this week.
  • Weaker US labor market data strengthens the case for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

The Euro seems resilient to the political instability in France, maintaining its value. The upcoming ECB meeting, where rates are expected to remain unchanged, suggests a steady monetary policy in the Eurozone. Simultaneously, events across the Atlantic, such as the US inflation report and speculation around a Federal Reserve rate cut, may influence the Euro’s trajectory in the near future. Any unexpected shifts in US policy could potentially put downward pressure on the USD relative to the Euro.