Euro Climbs Amid Dollar Weakness – Monday, 12 January

The euro is experiencing upward momentum against the US dollar, nearing the 1.1700 level. This rise is largely attributed to broad-based dollar weakness stemming from renewed concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence and political uncertainty in the United States. Investors are also looking ahead to key economic data releases, including US CPI and retail sales figures, for further insights into future monetary policy decisions.

  • The euro climbed toward $1.17, recovering from a one-month low.
  • Dollar weakness is due to concerns over the Fed’s independence after a Justice Department subpoena.
  • Jerome Powell stated the subpoena was a “pretext” for Trump’s push to pressure the Fed.
  • Investors await German GDP figures and US CPI data.
  • Weaker Eurozone CPI data reduced bets on an ECB rate hike this year.
  • The EUR/USD pair is trading as high as 1.1695 due to political turmoil in the US.
  • A probe into Fed Chair Powell for misleading Congress is underway.
  • Trump claims he is unaware of actions, but is critical of Powell’s performance at the Fed.
  • The January Sentix Investor Confidence Index improved to -1.8.

These factors suggest a period of increased volatility for the euro, influenced by both domestic Eurozone data and US political and economic events. The euro’s strength is currently tied to dollar weakness, making it vulnerable to shifts in US monetary policy expectations and political stability. Upcoming data releases will likely play a crucial role in determining the euro’s near-term trajectory.