Category: USD

Asset Summary – Friday, 18 April

GBPUSD is experiencing upward momentum, primarily driven by a weakening US dollar. Despite UK inflation figures coming in lower than anticipated, suggesting potential easing of monetary policy, the pound has continued its ascent. The cooling inflation, while increasing market expectations for Bank of England interest rate cuts, paradoxically hasn’t dampened GBPUSD’s rise, likely because the market is anticipating the BoE will act to bolster the economy in the face of wider global economic headwinds. This creates a scenario where the pound is benefiting from both dollar weakness and, potentially, future economic stimulus within the UK.

EURUSD faces a complex outlook. The European Central Bank’s recent interest rate cut and cautious economic outlook, fueled by trade tensions, initially weakened the euro. However, the euro has demonstrated resilience, appreciating significantly against the dollar during April. This is likely due to a reassessment of the dollar’s global dominance and a growing perception of the euro as a strong alternative. Furthermore, anticipated increases in defense spending, especially in Germany, are providing additional upward pressure on the euro. Therefore, while the ECB’s monetary policy actions present headwinds, broader macroeconomic factors and shifts in investor sentiment currently support a positive outlook for the EURUSD.

DOW JONES experienced a notable downturn, falling 527 points due to a significant decline in UnitedHealth shares following a weak outlook. This drop occurred amidst mixed market sentiment influenced by trade talk developments and uncertainty surrounding interest rates. Despite positive movement in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, the Dow’s performance was negatively impacted by the healthcare sector’s underperformance and overall market jitters, ultimately resulting in a 2% loss for the week.

FTSE 100 is exhibiting a positive trend, managing to close slightly higher despite initial setbacks, marking its sixth consecutive day of gains. This resilience is attributed to positive signals from individual companies, such as Rentokil Initial, whose optimistic outlook boosted investor confidence, and Sainsbury’s strong performance. However, profit-taking in Fresnillo, following a surge in bullion prices, indicates potential volatility. Overall, the market is reacting to corporate earnings and global trade policy considerations, with a pause expected as the London Stock Exchange closes for a long weekend, potentially influencing trading activity upon reopening next week.

GOLD experienced a price decline after initially hitting a record high, a move attributed to profit-taking. The precious metal’s earlier surge stemmed from its appeal as a safe haven, fueled by ongoing ambiguity in US trade policy. Fluctuations in tariff announcements, including probes into semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, coupled with uncertainty surrounding auto tariffs and suspensions on some tech products, have contributed to market unease. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious stance on interest rates, anticipating inflationary pressures and slower economic growth due to tariffs, further influences investor sentiment. The evolving dynamics of US-China trade negotiations, with China indicating a willingness to resume talks under specific conditions, also play a significant role in shaping gold’s valuation. These factors suggest potential volatility in gold prices, influenced by geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

Asset Summary – Thursday, 17 April

GBPUSD is experiencing upward momentum, currently trading around $1.327, driven primarily by US dollar weakness. Despite recent UK CPI data indicating a slowdown in inflation, which typically weakens a currency, the pound has continued its ascent. The lower inflation figures have increased market expectations for Bank of England rate cuts, with investors pricing in a higher probability of multiple cuts throughout the year. While easing monetary policy tends to depreciate a currency, the potential for the BoE to stimulate the economy through rate reductions, in the face of global economic headwinds and rising domestic costs, appears to be outweighing the negative impact of anticipated rate cuts, at least for the short term.

EURUSD is positioned to potentially experience volatility given the current economic climate. Heightened global trade tensions and uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariff policies are weighing on investor confidence in U.S. assets, supporting the euro. While temporary tariff exclusions offer some relief, the threat of new levies, particularly on semiconductors, continues to fuel recession concerns and negatively impact the dollar. The upcoming European Central Bank policy meeting will be crucial, as a widely anticipated rate cut and any accompanying commentary on trade war impacts and future monetary policy could significantly influence the currency pair’s trajectory. A dovish ECB stance might offset the euro’s strength, whereas a more hawkish outlook, or even a neutral one, could amplify upward pressure.

DOW JONES faces uncertainty following recent market volatility. The index’s future performance is clouded by rising trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, and concerns about their potential impact on inflation and economic growth. Comments from the Federal Reserve chair regarding these risks, coupled with a lack of explicit guidance on interest rate policy, have unsettled investors. The decline in technology stocks, especially within the semiconductor sector, poses a significant headwind for broader market sentiment, potentially leading to continued downward pressure on the Dow Jones.

FTSE 100 experienced a positive trading day, closing higher despite some headwinds. Gold miners benefited from rising gold prices, contributing to the overall gains. However, global trade concerns and disappointing corporate news from Bunzl and WH Smith initially weighed on the index. Looking ahead, UK inflation figures offer a mixed signal, while the performance of companies like Barratt Redrow and Mitie suggests some resilience in specific sectors. Overall, the index’s near-term performance appears contingent on both macroeconomic factors like inflation and trade relations, as well as individual company results and investor sentiment.

GOLD is experiencing increased demand and price appreciation, reaching record highs, due to its perceived safety during times of economic and political instability. Uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies, including potential tariffs and ongoing trade negotiations with China, are prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets. The Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, driven by concerns about the inflationary and growth-dampening effects of tariffs, further supports gold’s appeal as a store of value. These factors suggest continued upward pressure on gold prices in the near term.

Asset Summary – Wednesday, 16 April

GBPUSD is exhibiting conflicting signals that create uncertainty for its valuation. Positive sentiment stemming from potential delays in US auto tariffs is supporting the pound, especially for UK exporters with US ties. However, expectations of imminent rate cuts by the Bank of England due to a weakening UK economy are acting as a counterweight, potentially pushing the pound lower. The combination of strong wage growth but declining employment, alongside potential easing of inflation due to global demand softening, creates a complex scenario. Traders should anticipate volatility as the market navigates these opposing forces, weighing the impact of global trade developments against the Bank of England’s monetary policy decisions.

EURUSD is likely to experience continued upward pressure as global trade uncertainty and concerns about the US economy weigh on the dollar. The euro is finding support near its recent highs, driven by the perception that the US is facing increasing economic headwinds. While the upcoming ECB meeting could introduce volatility, a widely anticipated rate cut may already be priced in. Focus will be on the ECB’s assessment of trade risks, with dovish signals potentially capping euro gains, while signs of resilience could further boost the currency against the dollar. Any surprises regarding US tariff policy could trigger sharp, short-term fluctuations in the pair.

DOW JONES is likely to face downward pressure in early trading. The decline in U.S. stock futures, triggered by Nvidia’s significant after-hours drop, casts a shadow over the index. Nvidia’s announcement of a substantial charge related to export restrictions to China adds to concerns about the impact of trade tensions. Investors are also anticipating corporate earnings releases and retail sales data, which could introduce further volatility. Lingering trade uncertainty between the U.S. and China, particularly the Commerce Department’s investigation into semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, could weigh on investor sentiment and potentially drive the Dow lower.

FTSE 100 experienced an upward push, driven by potential US tariff exemptions, particularly benefiting UK auto part manufacturers. This positive sentiment was further amplified by gains in financials and rate-sensitive stocks. However, the index faces potential headwinds from ongoing US probes into semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, which could negatively impact major UK drugmakers. While certain sectors like discount retail are thriving, evidenced by B&M’s strong performance, the luxury goods sector, exemplified by the decline in Burberry and Watches of Switzerland following LVMH’s sales report, introduces an element of uncertainty. The overall outlook suggests a market responding positively to trade-related optimism but remaining vulnerable to sector-specific challenges and international trade policies.

GOLD is experiencing upward price pressure, propelled by safe-haven buying amid concerns regarding potential US trade barriers and a weaker dollar. The President’s focus on mineral import tariffs introduces uncertainty that overshadows previous positive trade news. Analyst sentiment remains optimistic, supported by investment flows into gold ETFs and ongoing central bank purchases. Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming US retail sales data and commentary from the Federal Reserve Chair for insights into the economic climate and future monetary policy decisions, which could further influence gold’s trajectory.

Asset Summary – Tuesday, 15 April

GBPUSD is experiencing upward momentum as the pound benefits from a weaker dollar influenced by uncertainty surrounding US trade policy with China. This dollar weakness is occurring despite expectations of significant interest rate cuts by the Bank of England, which would typically pressure the pound. However, caution remains as the impact of trade policies and currency fluctuations on UK inflation is unclear, adding volatility. Upcoming UK jobs and inflation data will be crucial in determining the pair’s future direction.

EURUSD is positioned for potential continued upside as the euro benefits from global trade uncertainty and wavering confidence in the U.S. dollar. Trade tensions, particularly regarding U.S. tariff policy, are fueling recession concerns and diminishing the appeal of U.S. assets. While the U.S. President has granted temporary tariff exclusions, the prospect of new levies on semiconductors and pending decisions on phone tariffs keep the market on edge. The upcoming European Central Bank policy meeting is crucial, with an expected rate cut and close scrutiny of ECB commentary on trade impacts and future interest rate strategies. Any dovish signals from the ECB could temper euro strength, but overall, the current environment favors further EURUSD gains unless the ECB significantly alters market expectations.

DOW JONES faces a mixed outlook. While the previous day saw gains spurred by tariff exemptions on electronics and the potential pause of auto tariffs, suggesting upward momentum, the future is less clear. Upcoming earnings reports from major companies across various sectors are anticipated to reveal the impact of existing tariffs, potentially introducing volatility and downward pressure if corporate guidance reflects increased uncertainty. Further weighing on the market is the newly launched US Commerce Department probe into semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, adding to investor unease and potentially limiting upside potential. The performance of major firms may significantly dictate whether the Dow can sustain or build upon its recent gains.

FTSE 100 experienced an upward push primarily driven by positive market sentiment surrounding a temporary reprieve from US tariffs on technology goods. This, coupled with the commencement of earnings season, boosted investor confidence and led to a 2% increase. The tariff news particularly benefited risk-on sectors such as financials and commodity-related stocks. However, company-specific news reveals mixed impacts as Ashmore’s reduced assets under management contrasted sharply with Wood Group’s considerable share price surge following a takeover bid, potentially influencing overall market dynamics and investor strategies.

GOLD is experiencing upward price pressure due to ongoing economic uncertainties stemming from potential tariffs initiated by President Trump. The fluctuating exemptions for tech and auto industries, coupled with new investigations into pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, are fueling safe-haven demand for gold. Further bolstering its value is the possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in response to these tariffs, as suggested by Governor Waller. Conflicting signals from Fed officials, with Bostic advocating a wait-and-see approach, are contributing to market uncertainty and pricing in significant rate easing by the end of the year, further supporting gold’s appeal.

Asset Summary – Monday, 14 April

GBPUSD is likely to experience volatility and potential downward pressure. The pound’s recent strength against the dollar, driven by dollar weakness stemming from trade war anxieties, could be fragile. While the pound has been resilient, the growing likelihood of substantial interest rate cuts by the Bank of England, now almost fully pricing in a cut as early as May, presents a significant headwind. The combination of global recession fears and aggressive monetary policy easing by the BoE could outweigh any benefit the pound receives from political efforts to insulate the UK from trade war fallout. Traders should be prepared for potential declines in the GBPUSD pair as the market digests these factors.

EURUSD is demonstrating upward pressure as the euro benefits from a weaker dollar amid escalating US-China trade tensions and resulting concerns about the global economy. Investors are moving away from the dollar, a traditional safe haven, providing further support for the euro. Political stability in Europe, specifically the coalition agreement in Germany and the anticipated chancellorship of Friedrich Merz, adds to the euro’s appeal. However, the expected ECB interest rate cut and potential for further easing this year, influenced by concerns over economic deterioration, could temper gains or introduce volatility.

DOW JONES is positioned for potential gains as positive sentiment builds around trade developments and anticipation for corporate earnings. The temporary exemptions on tariffs for key tech products, while not a complete removal of trade pressures due to the existing Fentanyl Tariffs, offers some relief. Coupled with a robust market rebound last week following the tariff delay announcement, and a calendar packed with major earnings reports from companies like Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson, investors may be optimistic, potentially driving the index higher. The substantial gains last week in other major indices, such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, further supports a positive outlook for the Dow.

FTSE 100 has experienced a notable decline since the start of 2025. Tracking data reveals a decrease of 209 points, representing a 2.56% drop in its value. This contraction indicates a weakening performance of the leading UK stock market index, suggesting potential headwinds for companies listed within it and influencing trading strategies for investors utilizing CFDs linked to the index.

GOLD’s price is currently experiencing volatility driven by conflicting forces. The easing of trade tensions, specifically the temporary tariff exemption on certain electronic products, initially exerted downward pressure, causing a price decrease from recent record highs. However, looming threats of new duties on electronic goods and semiconductors are creating uncertainty that could bolster gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China, characterized by tit-for-tat tariff increases, has previously fueled significant price gains. Furthermore, the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is being closely watched, as indications of potential rate cuts could further influence gold’s value.

Asset Summary – Friday, 11 April

GBPUSD is exhibiting upward momentum, driven by a weaker US dollar and a reassessment of UK monetary policy expectations. The dollar’s decline stems from uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, particularly conflicting signals regarding tariffs. Concurrently, expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts by the Bank of England have diminished, lending support to the pound. Furthermore, tentative signs of economic improvement in the UK, as indicated by a projected GDP increase, are contributing to a more positive outlook for the currency pair. This combination of factors suggests the potential for continued, albeit volatile, appreciation in the near term.

EURUSD experienced upward pressure due to a combination of factors. The EU’s tariff suspension on the US bolstered the euro as it eased trade tensions and allayed fears of economic downturn. Simultaneously, reduced US tariffs on some countries and increased tariffs on China injected uncertainty into the global market, indirectly favoring the euro. Furthermore, revised expectations for ECB rate cuts, indicating a less dovish stance than previously anticipated, provided additional support for the euro, leading to a higher valuation against the US dollar. Traders are now less certain about immediate rate cuts.

DOW JONES is facing downward pressure as U.S. stock futures are declining, reflecting a week of volatility driven by trade uncertainty. A significant drop in major indexes, including the Dow itself, highlights weakened investor confidence following a brief rally triggered by tariff pause news. Renewed trade war anxieties, evidenced by increased tariffs on Chinese imports, are contributing to the negative sentiment. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. consumer sentiment data and earnings reports from major financial institutions, which could further influence the Dow’s direction.

FTSE 100 experienced a significant surge, marking its largest gain since 2020, primarily driven by a shift in US trade policy. The suspension of new tariff increases instilled confidence in the global economy, positively influencing investor sentiment. The financial sector and commodity-related stocks benefitted the most from this renewed optimism, with Anglo American seeing a notable rise due to investor anticipation surrounding the sale of its steelmaking coal unit. However, the positive trend was tempered by concerns surrounding the UK grocery market, where increased competition is expected to put pressure on profits for companies like Tesco, leading to a decline in their share value.

GOLD is experiencing a significant upward trend, achieving record highs driven by several factors. The weakening US dollar makes gold relatively cheaper for investors holding other currencies, boosting demand. Heightened trade tensions between the US and China are creating uncertainty and anxiety in the market, pushing investors towards gold as a safe-haven asset. The US imposing higher tariffs on Chinese goods intensifies these concerns. Furthermore, unexpected declines in US consumer prices have increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement interest rate cuts, potentially making gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets. However, these rate cut expectations are complicated by the inflationary pressures that could arise from increased tariffs on Chinese goods. Overall, the current economic and geopolitical climate seems to favor continued strength in the gold market, positioning it for potentially its best weekly performance in several months.

Asset Summary – Thursday, 10 April

GBPUSD is exhibiting upward momentum, primarily driven by a weakened US dollar. Heightened trade tensions between the US and China, coupled with retaliatory tariff announcements from both nations, are contributing to this dollar depreciation. Furthermore, the European Union’s approval of tariffs on US goods adds to the negative sentiment surrounding the US currency. In the UK, concerns expressed by a Bank of England Deputy Governor regarding the potential impact of these tariffs on UK growth are influencing market expectations for future interest rate cuts. The increasing probability of aggressive rate cuts by the Bank of England, including a potential 50 basis point cut in May and a series of cuts throughout the year, is also factoring into the dynamics affecting the pair.

EURUSD is gaining value as trade tensions between the US and China escalate, leading investors to seek alternatives to the US dollar. The increase in tariffs imposed by both nations is diminishing the dollar’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, simultaneously, the Euro is strengthened by political stability in Europe, specifically the coalition agreement in Germany, which paves the way for new leadership. Furthermore, the anticipated interest rate cut by the European Central Bank this month appears to be already priced in, minimizing any potential negative impact on the Euro. These combined factors are pushing the EURUSD towards its highest level in several months.

DOW JONES is positioned for continued gains as positive market sentiment follows a substantial rally driven by President Trump’s tariff pause announcement. The index experienced a significant surge, mirroring gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. This upward trend is likely to be sustained, although the ongoing trade tensions with China and the potential for tariffs on the EU present a degree of uncertainty. The strong performance of leading technology companies suggests a broad-based recovery, potentially benefiting the Dow Jones through its constituents that participate in the tech sector.

FTSE 100 experienced a significant decline, driven by escalating global trade tensions. Retaliatory tariffs imposed by China and the European Union on US goods triggered market uncertainty, negatively impacting major UK stocks. Pharmaceutical companies like AstraZeneca and GSK faced substantial losses following indications of potential tariffs targeting the sector. Declining crude prices further pressured oil giants Shell and BP, contributing to the overall downturn. Despite a positive trading update from JD Sports, the lack of commentary on potential US tariff risks raises concerns given their significant presence in the American market.

GOLD is experiencing upward price pressure as escalating trade tensions between the US and China drive investors toward safe-haven assets. The tit-for-tat tariff increases, despite some broader de-escalation efforts, are creating economic uncertainty, bolstering gold’s appeal. Concerns within the Federal Reserve regarding rising inflation and slower growth, as indicated by recent FOMC minutes, further support the bullish outlook. The market is keenly awaiting upcoming US CPI and PPI data to gauge the Fed’s future interest rate policy. Additionally, substantial inflows into gold-backed ETFs in the first quarter of the year demonstrate strong investor confidence in the precious metal.

Asset Summary – Wednesday, 9 April

GBPUSD is facing downward pressure as the pound weakens against the dollar. Concerns about a potential global recession, fueled by trade tensions between the US and China, are driving investors away from assets perceived as riskier, like the British pound. This, coupled with increasing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England, significantly lowers the attractiveness of holding GBP. The market’s anticipation of aggressive monetary easing by the BoE, including a high probability of a rate cut in May, further weakens the pound, leading to a decline in the GBPUSD exchange rate.

EURUSD faces downward pressure as escalating global trade tensions and worries about slower global growth weigh on riskier currencies. The euro’s stability around $1.09 is fragile, contingent on the EU’s response to U.S. tariffs. The failure of the EU’s zero-for-zero tariff proposal and the potential implementation of counter-tariffs against U.S. goods create uncertainty. Furthermore, China’s firm stance against U.S. trade threats adds to the overall risk-off sentiment, likely hindering any significant upward movement for the currency pair in the near term. Traders should closely monitor trade negotiations and policy announcements from both the EU and the US as key drivers for future EURUSD direction.

DOW JONES faces downward pressure as newly implemented US tariffs on Chinese goods spark fears of a full-blown trade war. The market’s negative reaction, including Tuesday’s decline, suggests that investor confidence is shaken by the escalating conflict. Initial optimism about tariff negotiations has faded following confirmation of the tariffs, signaling further potential losses. The lack of progress despite reported interest from numerous countries underscores the uncertainty surrounding international trade relations, likely fueling further volatility. Investors’ focus will now shift to the Federal Reserve’s minutes for any indications regarding future interest rate policy, which could offer some stability or further exacerbate market concerns.

FTSE 100 experienced a significant rebound, adding 2.7% to reach a closing value of 7,910.5, effectively halting a recent period of declines. This upward movement suggests a potential recovery following substantial losses prompted by anxieties surrounding international trade policies, which had previously erased a considerable amount of market capitalization. The gains were particularly pronounced in the aerospace and defense sectors, with Rolls-Royce and BAE Systems leading the advance, indicating renewed investor confidence in these specific industries. Broader gains across various other companies imply a wider market recovery after the recent downturn.

GOLD is experiencing upward pressure, driven primarily by its role as a safe-haven asset in the face of escalating global economic uncertainty. The imposition of tariffs by the United States, specifically the significant duties on Chinese goods and the potential for further tariffs on pharmaceuticals, is heightening concerns about a global recession and inflationary pressures. This uncertainty is encouraging investors to seek refuge in gold. Furthermore, substantial inflows into gold-backed ETFs indicate strong investor confidence in the metal. Traders are also closely watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting minutes for clues regarding potential future interest rate adjustments, which could further influence gold’s value.