Pound Plummets on Rate Cut Expectations – Thursday, 13 November

The British pound is under significant pressure, trading near a seven-month low against the dollar and a two-and-a-half-year low against the euro. Weaker-than-expected economic data has fueled speculation of an imminent interest rate cut by the Bank of England. Political uncertainty further compounds the negative sentiment, contributing to market jitters.

  • The British pound hovered around $1.31, near its seven-month low.
  • It touched a two-and-a-half-year low against the euro.
  • UK economy grew just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q3, down from 0.3% in Q2.
  • September GDP contracted 0.1% month-on-month.
  • The jobless rate hit a four-year high.
  • Pay growth slowed to its weakest since early 2022.
  • Reports of a failed attempt to challenge Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership unsettled investors.

The data paints a bearish picture for the British pound. Economic growth is slowing, unemployment is rising, and wage growth is decelerating, all suggesting a weaker economic outlook. This increases the likelihood of monetary easing by the Bank of England. Furthermore, political instability introduces additional risk, potentially exacerbating the pound’s decline. These factors combined create a challenging environment for the currency.