Gold Under Pressure, Rate Cut Hopes Dim – Tuesday, 4 November

Gold prices experienced a downturn, falling below $4,000 per ounce due to diminished expectations of further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. This sentiment was fueled by recent statements from Fed officials expressing concerns about persistent inflation, even with a softening labor market. Reduced safe-haven demand after a US-China trade agreement and changes in China’s gold sales tax policy also contributed to the downward pressure on prices.

  • Gold prices dropped below $4,000 per ounce.
  • Fading expectations of US rate cuts are weighing on gold.
  • Three Federal Reserve officials expressed doubts about additional policy easing next month.
  • Markets now imply a 65% chance of a December rate cut, down from over 90% a week ago.
  • The US and China reached an agreement to extend the tariff truce, easing safe-haven demand.
  • China’s move to end a tax incentive on gold sales could lift domestic prices and potentially weigh on demand.

The information suggests a potentially bearish outlook for gold in the short term. A less accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and easing geopolitical tensions are reducing gold’s appeal as a safe haven and investment vehicle. Changes to the economic environment could introduce near term downward pressures.