US Dollar Weakens Amid Trade Deal Optimism – Tuesday, 28 October

Market conditions see the US dollar under pressure, falling to a one-week low. Optimism surrounding a potential US-China trade deal is diminishing the dollar’s safe-haven appeal. Simultaneously, anticipation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is contributing to the dollar’s depreciation. Other central banks like those in Japan and the EU are expected to hold rates.

  • The dollar index fell to around 98.6, a one-week low.
  • Optimism over a potential US-China trade deal dampened safe-haven demand for the US Dollar.
  • The US and China have agreed on a framework for a potential trade deal including agreements on rare earth minerals, soybean purchases and TikTok.
  • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday.
  • Markets are watching for hints of another Fed rate cut in December.
  • Central banks in Japan and the European Union are expected to hold rates steady this week.
  • The dollar depreciated the most against the yen after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent discussed FX volatility with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, and called for “sound monetary policy” in his latest swipe against the slow pace of rate hikes in Japan.

The US Dollar is facing downward pressure due to multiple factors. A possible trade agreement is reducing its desirability as a safe investment. The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is also contributing to its weakened state. Comments related to FX volatility and monetary policy are further influencing the currency’s performance, particularly against the Japanese yen.